What will happen?Toda City HAZARD BOOKStudy secon: arthquakesEarthquake in northern Tokyo BayEarthquake in northern Tokyo BayGenroku-type Kanto earthquake Genroku-type Kanto earthquake Earthquake along the Tachikawa fault lineEarthquake along the Tachikawa fault lineEarthquake along the northwestern Kanto Plains fault lineEarthquake along the northwestern Kanto Plains fault lineToda CityToda CityEarthquake in southern Ibaraki PrefectureEarthquake in southern Ibaraki PrefectureIt could easily strike at any momentSubducon earthquakes[M7.3][M7.3][M8.2]Earthquake in northern Tokyo BayGenroku-type Kanto earthquake Three scenariosEarthquake in southern Ibaraki PrefectureAcve fault earthquakesTwo scenarios[M8.1]Earthquake along the northwestern Kanto Plains fault lineEarthquake along the Tachikawa fault line[M7.4]6+6–6–Earthquake in northern Tokyo BayGenroku-type Kanto earthquake Earthquake along the northwestern Kanto Plains fault line6–Earthquake along the Tachikawa fault line6–Maximum predicted strength for ve potenal earthquakes in Toda CityEarthquake in southern Ibaraki PrefectureEarthquakes in Toda CityIn August 2013, Saitama Prefecture published new damage esmates for the Tokyo Inland earthquake based on what occurred during the Great East Japan Earthquake.These esmates make use of the latest scienc informaon about what the Tokyo Inland earthquake would entail as well as past earthquake damages. They indicate ve potenal earthquake scenarios likely to cause extensive damages in Saitama: two involve acve fault earthquakes and three involve subducon earthquakes. M: MagnitudeExperts say that the chance of a magnitude 7 “Tokyo Inland earthquake” (a designaon that includes earthquakes along the northwestern Kanto Plains fault lines well as subducon earthquakes like a southern Ibaraki Prefecture earthquake originang in the Philippine Sea Plate)striking in the next 30 years is 70%. An event like this is bound to occur any me now.Experts say that the chance of a magnitude 7 earthquake striking in the next 30 years is 70%33
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